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DOCUMENT TAGS Anticipation

Case Study: Anticipating high stakes elections in Kenya 2017

Date added

24 April 2018

Summary

The Start Fund anticipation window seeks to mitigate harm and loss for communities at risk of crisis. It does so by enabling and incentivising Start Network members to monitor risk and act on the basis of forecasts. Through the Start Fund anticipation window, Non-Governmental Organisations can respond to shifts in risk, such as a forecast of extreme rainfall or likely political crisis. A key element of this approach requires collective sense-making, or collaborative risk analysis, around the situation forecasted and its potential humanitarian impact.

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This case study explores the Start Fund anticipation alert 175 for anticipated election related violence and displacement in Kenya and its impact. Each stage of the alert cycle is unpacked and explored. Following an exploration of the alert, it focuses in on work funded in the Nakuru Preparedness Elections Preparedness Hub. This case study draws upon project reports and learning exchanges. It also draws upon 10 key informant interviews conducted in Kenya in November 2017 with Start Members who were involved in the alert as well as UN representatives and other NGOs. A project visit to Nakuru was conducted involving a focus group discussion with 20 individuals who were part of the Nakuru Elections Preparedness Hub

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