DOCUMENT TAGS Anticipation
Monthly Risk Briefing: September
03 September 2018
The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured.
This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.
What is high priority this month?
As elections loom over in Cameroon on the 7th October, there is an anticipation that there will be violence in the leadup to the presidential election. It is likely that will lead to further displacement and greater protection, education, and livelihoods needs. The Cameroonian government is already struggling to meet the needs of both refugees and host populations form the Central African Republic.
Afghanistan is currently experiencing it's lowest harvest since 2011, with significantly below average rainfall and high temperatures. Ongoing active conflict is likely to further limit access to aid, health and nutritional services. Start members raised an anticipation alert on 17 September to respond to a likely spike in violence and food insecurity in specifically in the Sar-e-pul, Balkh, and Jawzjan provinces.
There have been reports that a volcanic eruption can happen at any time in The Democratic Republic of Congo, following an increase in the intensity of volcanic activity. With the current level of preparedness, an eruption would be disastrous, leading to loss of life, livelihoods and homes.
Download this month's risk briefing to learn about the risk of flooding in Nigeria; outbreak of Ebola in Uganda; drough in Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala; outbreak of cholera in Niger and floods in Sudan.