risk brief July

The monthly risk briefing reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. It is collated by the Start Network Anticipation and Risk Financing team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

What is high priority this month?

The outbreak of Ebola in western Democratic Republic of Congo is being assessed by various organisations, with the risk of a cross border outbreak. Flooding is anticipated due to high water levels and forecast heavy rainfall in Nepal and Pakistan. Restricted humanitarian access in Syria due to the end of the mandate for UN cross-border humanitarian aid deliveries is likely to have significant impacts for population in northwest Syria.

Escalating conflict in Libya is exacerbating the response to COVID-19 and socio-economic condition, while fuel shortage in north Yemen means a likely repeat of the impacts on food security and water access as last year but this time with the concern this could exacerbate the spread of COVID-19.