Start Fund

Crisis Anticipation Window


The Start Fund Anticipation Window enables NGOs to prepare when they see a crisis coming and respond early to mitigate the predicted impacts. It is the first NGO funding mechanism to be available for anticipatory interventions.

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Don't wait, Anticipate


Over the last 4 years the Start Fund has been activated 148 times. In 2016, NGOs began forecasting a stronger-than-usual El Nino event but lacked the resources and funding to prepare for it. We as the Start Network, found that waiting for a crisis to hit, and responding once the damage had been done, was not always good enough - especially in the context of predictable crisis. Following this, the Start Fund was adapted so that Start Network members could access funding and implement projects before a disaster is forecast to strike. The anticipation window has been operational ever since, working with forecasting agencies and crisis monitors to act early and avoid the unnecessary loss of life all over the world.

 

At the World Humanitarian Summit in May 2016, UN Secretary-General called for the humanitarian community to invest in risk analysis and act early on findings. Through the Crisis Anticipation Window we are doing just that: In 2018 we will continue to anticipate crises globally, by working with forecasting agencies, academics and expert groups like FOREWARN, to better pre-empt humanitarian disasters worldwide.

Performance


Figures about the Crisis Anticipation Window since its inception in November 2016.
Read more in the Crisis Anticipation annual report.

Crises anticipated

17

Crises anticipated

Anticipation Alerts raised

27

Anticipation Alerts raised

Average days between alert and operations

7

Average days between alert and operations

Responses in # countries

12

Responses in # countries

Pounds disbursed

3,145,766

Pounds disbursed

Latest news


Blog Post

Learn at the 2018 Assembly: Crisis Anticipation Window

Learn how many people have been reached with the Crisis Anticipation Window and how we have been able to act before and disaster struck.

26Nov18

Blog Post

Bangladeshi floods: Looking back to move forward

In July 2016, Bangladesh was hit by one of the worst floods in recent history. What could have been done differently using the forecasts that were issued? Knowing what we know now, how can we better anticipate future floods? What can we learn from this to limit the damage caused by future floods?

29Oct18

Blog Post

Reflections from the FOREWARN bi-annual community meeting

The Start Fund’s biannual FOREWARN meeting in early September was an opportunity for FOREWARN members to both contribute and draw from a collective body of work. As FOREWARN continues to grow, as well as decentralise – connecting forecasters, scientists, risk analysts and humanitarian decision-makers at all levels proved vital.

04Oct18

Blog Post

Mainstreaming Early Action

Every year, numerous predictable risks turn into humanitarian disasters. Whether it’s foreseen pre-election violence, disease outbreaks following floods, or landslides following heavy rains, a lot can be done to mitigate the damage of such threats by acting early.

04Sep18

The Anticipation Alert Cycle

Related documents


Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: November

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

03Dec18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: October

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

26Oct18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: September

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

04Oct18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: August

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

01Aug18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: July

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

10Jul18

Resource

Case Study: Anticipating high stakes elections in Kenya 2017

The Start Fund anticipation window seeks to mitigate harm and loss for communities at risk of crisis. It does so by enabling and incentivising Start Network members to monitor risk and act on the basis of forecasts. Through the Start Fund anticipation window, Non-Governmental Organisations can respond to shifts in risk, such as a forecast of extreme rainfall or likely political crisis. A key element of this approach requires collective sense-making, or collaborative risk analysis, around the situation forecasted and its potential humanitarian impact.

24Apr18

Resource

Case Study: Anticipation of flooding and landslides in Tajikistan

The Start Fund anticipation window seeks to mitigate harm and loss for communities at risk of crisis. It does so by enabling and incentivising Start Network members to monitor risk and act on the basis of forecasts. Through the Start Fund anticipation window, Non-Governmental Organisations can respond to shifts in risk, such as a forecast of extreme rainfall or likely political crisis. A key element of this approach requires collective sense-making, or collaborative risk analysis, around the situation forecasted and its potential humanitarian impact.

24Apr18

Resource

Case Study: Anticipation of drought in Timor-Leste

The Start Fund anticipation window seeks to mitigate harm and loss for communities at risk of crisis. It does so by enabling and incentivising Start Network members to monitor risk and act on the basis of forecasts. Through the Start Fund anticipation window, Non-Governmental Organisations can respond to shifts in risk, such as a forecast of extreme rainfall or likely political crisis. A key element of this approach requires collective sense-making, or collaborative risk analysis, around the situation forecasted and its potential humanitarian impact.

24Apr18

Resource

Start Fund Learning Framework: Crisis Anticipation Window

The Start Fund anticipation window seeks to mitigate harm and loss for communities at risk of crisis. It does so by enabling and incentivising StartNetwork members to monitor risk and act on the basis of forecasts. Throughthe Start Fund anticipation window, Non-Governmental Organisationscan respond to shifts in risk, suchas a forecast of extreme rainfall or likely political crisis. A key element of thisapproach requires collective sense-making, or collaborative risk analysis, aroundthe situation forecasted and its potential humanitarian impact.

24Apr18

Resource

Forecasting hazards, averting disasters - Implementing forecast-based early action at scale

Donors and humanitarian agencies are thinking carefully about how to use forecasts to provide earlier support to at-risk communities before a disaster occurs. While this interest stems from a desire to reduce the growing humanitarian burden and reconsider how aid is spent on humanitarian crises, forecast-based early action is also of interest to development professionals operating in social protection, disaster risk management and risk financing: preventive action should happen anyway, but in a context of limited resources forecast-based early action can help with decisions about how to best allocate funds in advance of an imminent impact.  You can read about the Start Funds Crisis Anticipation Window by clicking here.

29Mar18

Resource

Start Fund Crisis Anticipation Window Annual Report 2017

The Start Fund opened its Crisis Anticipation Window in November 2016. In this report we set out the changes we have made so far, identify what we’ve learned during its first year and explain the plan to normalise and embed anticipation across the Start Network.

07Dec17

Resource

Start Fund handbook

This handbook details the procedures which govern the use and allocation of the Start Fund

10Nov17

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Find out more about the Crisis Anticipation Window