Start Fund

Crisis Anticipation Window


The Start Fund Anticipation Window enables NGOs to prepare when they see a crisis coming and respond early to mitigate the predicted impacts. It is the first NGO funding mechanism to be available for anticipatory interventions.

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Don't wait, Anticipate


Over the last 4 years the Start Fund has been activated 148 times. In 2016, NGOs began forecasting a stronger-than-usual El Nino event but lacked the resources and funding to prepare for it. We as the Start Network, found that waiting for a crisis to hit, and responding once the damage had been done, was not always good enough - especially in the context of predictable crisis. Following this, the Start Fund was adapted so that Start Network members could access funding and implement projects before a disaster is forecast to strike. The anticipation window has been operational ever since, working with forecasting agencies and crisis monitors to act early and avoid the unnecessary loss of life all over the world.

 

At the World Humanitarian Summit in May 2016, UN Secretary-General called for the humanitarian community to invest in risk analysis and act early on findings. Through the Crisis Anticipation Window we are doing just that: In 2018 we will continue to anticipate crises globally, by working with forecasting agencies, academics and expert groups like FOREWARN, to better pre-empt humanitarian disasters worldwide.

Performance


Figures about the Crisis Anticipation Window since its inception in November 2016.
Read more in the Crisis Anticipation annual report.

Crises anticipated

19

Crises anticipated

Anticipation Alerts raised

30

Anticipation Alerts raised

Average days between alert and operations

7

Average days between alert and operations

Responses in # countries

14

Responses in # countries

Pounds disbursed

3,704,956

Pounds disbursed

Latest news


Blog Post

The Domino Effect: Acting in advance of crises

We have helped to mitigate the damage of impending disasters and, in some cases, managed to stop crises from forming altogether as a result of well-timed, pre-emptive action. Through these experiences, we have built a strong body of evidence that points to the value of early interventions to save time, money, and lives.

08Apr20

Resource

Do it yourself assessment of the impact and value for money, for a forecast-based project in Bangladesh

This learning paper documents the process and learning from an impact assessment of a forecast-based project in Bangladesh. It is useful for anyone looking at impact measurement of forecast-based action.

31Mar20

Resource

Sector wide review of monitoring, evaluation, accountability and learning methodologies for forecast-based action

This document summarises approaches used to evaluate the impact of forecast-based action to date from across the humanitarian sector. It is a useful reference for anyone setting up impact assessments of forecast-based action.

31Mar20

Blog Post

Four years of successful anticipatory action

In 2016, the Start Network launched the Start Fund Anticipation Window in Bonn. We set out to link Start Network members with forecasts of impending crises and to facilitate country-level collaborative risk analysis, to release funds before a disaster strikes. Twenty-five Start Network members have since led innovative anticipatory projects, in twenty-four crisis-prone countries.

27Feb20

The Anticipation Alert Cycle

Related documents


Resource

Sector wide review of monitoring, evaluation, accountability and learning methodologies for forecast-based action

This document summarises approaches used to evaluate the impact of forecast-based action to date from across the humanitarian sector. It is a useful reference for anyone setting up impact assessments of forecast-based action.

31Mar20

Resource

Do it yourself assessment of the impact and value for money, for a forecast-based project in Bangladesh

This learning paper documents the process and learning from an impact assessment of a forecast-based project in Bangladesh. It is useful for anyone looking at impact measurement of forecast-based action.

31Mar20

Resource

Mongolia: anticipation of harsh winter

Mongolia is unique. 30% of the population earn their livelihoods from herding livestock, leading a traditional nomadic life to enable their animals to access pasture throughout the year. Weather conditions can be extremely harsh, with long, stormy winters where temperatures can drop as low as -40C or -50C. Herders, and therefore the wider Mongolia economy, are vulnerable to the impacts of extreme winter weather. Dry summers can mean livestock do not gain the weight needed to survive winter, combined with harsh conditions this can cause mass livestock mortality known as ‘dzud’.

11Feb20

Resource

Putting People at the Centre of Early Action

A new report into Start Network's anticipation tool advises that going forward, enabling communities to act ahead of a potential disaster will require a focus on localisation, putting at-risk people at the centre of the process to mainstream of early humanitarian action.

13Nov19

Resource

Monthly risk briefing: June

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund Anticipation process.

15Jul19

Resource

Good enough context analysis for rapid response

WHAT DOES GECARR PRODUCE? The output is a short document analysing the country context and needs, key actors, sources of cohesion and division (connectors and dividers) and likely future scenarios. It includes internal and external recommendations that inform organisational strategies, operational and security plans, programme designs and external messaging.

20May19

Resource

Monthly risk briefing: April

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund Anticipation process.

18Apr19

Resource

Monthly risk briefing: March

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund Anticipation process.

22Mar19

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: February

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund Anticipation process.

18Feb19

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: November

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

03Dec18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: October

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

26Oct18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: September

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

04Oct18

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Find out more about the Crisis Anticipation Window