Start Fund

Crisis Anticipation Window


The Start Fund Anticipation Window enables NGOs to prepare when they see a crisis coming and respond early to mitigate the predicted impacts. It is the first NGO funding mechanism to be available for anticipatory interventions.

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Don't wait, Anticipate


Over the last 4 years the Start Fund has been activated 148 times. In 2016, NGOs began forecasting a stronger-than-usual El Nino event but lacked the resources and funding to prepare for it. We as the Start Network, found that waiting for a crisis to hit, and responding once the damage had been done, was not always good enough - especially in the context of predictable crisis. Following this, the Start Fund was adapted so that Start Network members could access funding and implement projects before a disaster is forecast to strike. The anticipation window has been operational ever since, working with forecasting agencies and crisis monitors to act early and avoid the unnecessary loss of life all over the world.

 

At the World Humanitarian Summit in May 2016, UN Secretary-General called for the humanitarian community to invest in risk analysis and act early on findings. Through the Crisis Anticipation Window we are doing just that: In 2018 we will continue to anticipate crises globally, by working with forecasting agencies, academics and expert groups like FOREWARN, to better pre-empt humanitarian disasters worldwide.

Performance


Figures about the Crisis Anticipation Window since its inception in November 2016.
Read more in the Crisis Anticipation annual report.

Crises anticipated

19

Crises anticipated

Anticipation Alerts raised

30

Anticipation Alerts raised

Average days between alert and operations

7

Average days between alert and operations

Responses in # countries

14

Responses in # countries

Pounds disbursed

3,704,956

Pounds disbursed

Latest news


Blog Post

Practical approaches to innovation and innovative practices

Innovation and innovative practices are often seen as dependent upon new and transformative technologies. In this guest piece, as part of the Humanitarian Futures newsletter, Professor Randolph Kent shares the transformative work of FOREWARN members to meet present and future challenges in the humanitarian sector.  

18Jun19

Blog Post

Anticipation and Early Action webinar

The Start Network invites you to an Anticipation and Early Action webinar on 19th June 11:00 – 12:15 am GMT. Learn more.

05Jun19

Blog Post

Can humanitarians really forecast man-made disasters?

The Start Fund responds to humanitarian crises - from conflict and displacement to flooding, cyclones, disease outbreaks. But when the Start Fund began formally and regularly releasing aid in anticipation of crises in 2016, it was a common assumption that our network would only be able to release funding in anticipation of natural hazards. After all, violence, conflict and displacement are too uncertain to forecast and release aid on the basis of those forecasts, right?

21May19

Resource

Good enough context analysis for rapid response

WHAT DOES GECARR PRODUCE? The output is a short document analysing the country context and needs, key actors, sources of cohesion and division (connectors and dividers) and likely future scenarios. It includes internal and external recommendations that inform organisational strategies, operational and security plans, programme designs and external messaging.

20May19

The Anticipation Alert Cycle

Related documents


Resource

Good enough context analysis for rapid response

WHAT DOES GECARR PRODUCE? The output is a short document analysing the country context and needs, key actors, sources of cohesion and division (connectors and dividers) and likely future scenarios. It includes internal and external recommendations that inform organisational strategies, operational and security plans, programme designs and external messaging.

20May19

Resource

Monthly risk briefing: April

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund Anticipation process.

18Apr19

Resource

Monthly risk briefing: March

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund Anticipation process.

22Mar19

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: February

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund Anticipation process.

18Feb19

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: November

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

03Dec18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: October

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

26Oct18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: September

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

04Oct18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: August

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network Anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

01Aug18

Resource

Monthly Risk Briefing: July

The monthly risk briefing provides information on global weather, volcanic, human and health events where members may consider using the Start Fund’s Crisis Anticipation Window. It reports on new, emerging or deteriorating situations; therefore, ongoing events that are considered to be unchanged are not featured and risks that are beyond the scope and scale of the Start Fund are also not featured. This monthly risk briefing is collated by the Start Network anticipation team using information from academia and research institutes, government departments, ACAPS, global risk indexes, risk information provided by Start Members and their partners, and the media. Key risks are shared and collated each month with FOREWARN input.

10Jul18

Resource

Case Study: Anticipating high stakes elections in Kenya 2017

The Start Fund anticipation window seeks to mitigate harm and loss for communities at risk of crisis. It does so by enabling and incentivising Start Network members to monitor risk and act on the basis of forecasts. Through the Start Fund anticipation window, Non-Governmental Organisations can respond to shifts in risk, such as a forecast of extreme rainfall or likely political crisis. A key element of this approach requires collective sense-making, or collaborative risk analysis, around the situation forecasted and its potential humanitarian impact.

24Apr18

Resource

Case Study: Anticipation of flooding and landslides in Tajikistan

The Start Fund anticipation window seeks to mitigate harm and loss for communities at risk of crisis. It does so by enabling and incentivising Start Network members to monitor risk and act on the basis of forecasts. Through the Start Fund anticipation window, Non-Governmental Organisations can respond to shifts in risk, such as a forecast of extreme rainfall or likely political crisis. A key element of this approach requires collective sense-making, or collaborative risk analysis, around the situation forecasted and its potential humanitarian impact.

24Apr18

Resource

Case Study: Anticipation of drought in Timor-Leste

The Start Fund anticipation window seeks to mitigate harm and loss for communities at risk of crisis. It does so by enabling and incentivising Start Network members to monitor risk and act on the basis of forecasts. Through the Start Fund anticipation window, Non-Governmental Organisations can respond to shifts in risk, such as a forecast of extreme rainfall or likely political crisis. A key element of this approach requires collective sense-making, or collaborative risk analysis, around the situation forecasted and its potential humanitarian impact.

24Apr18

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Find out more about the Crisis Anticipation Window